Modelling the epidemic trend of the 2019-nCOV outbreak in Hubei Province, China
Abstract
As of 8am 30 th January (Beijing Time) 2020, Approximate 8000 cases across the world have been confirmed. It’s necessary to simulate epidemic trend of the 2019-nCOV outbreak in Hubei Province, the hardest-hit area. By SEIR simulation, the predicted epidemic peak in Hubei will be within 28 th January 2020 to 7 th February 2020, up to 7000-9000 infectious cases in total. The estimate above was based on some assumptions and limitations exited.
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