Act early, save lives: managing COVID-19 in Greece
Abstract
Objectives
To assess the impact of the implemented social distancing interventions (SD) in Greece.
Study Design
A dynamic, discrete time, stochastic individual-based model was developed to simulate COVID-19 transmission.
Methods
We fit the transmission model to the observed trends in deaths and ICU beds use.
Results
If Greece had not implemented the SD measures, the healthcare system would have been overwhelmed between 30 March and 4 of April. Additionally, the SD interventions averted 4360 deaths and prevent the healthcare system from overwhelmed.
Conclusions
The fast reflexes of the Greek government limit the burden of the Covid-19 outbreak.
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