Clinical course and potential predictive factors for pneumonia of adult patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): a retrospective observational analysis of 193 confirmed cases in Thailand
Abstract
Background
Clinical spectrum of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains unclear, especially with regard to the presence of pneumonia. We aimed to describe the clinical course and final outcomes of adult patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in the full spectrum of disease severity. We also aimed to identify potential predictive factors for COVID-19 pneumonia.
Methods and findings
We conducted a retrospective study among adult patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were hospitalized at Bamrasnaradura Infectious Diseases Institute, Thailand, between January 8 and April 16, 2020. One-hundred-and-ninety-three patients were included. The median (IQR) age was 37.0 (29.0-53.0) years, and 58.5% were male. More than half (56%) of the patients were mild disease severity, 22% were moderate, 14% were severe, and 3% were critical. Asymptomatic infection was found in 5%. The final clinical outcomes in 189 (97.9%) were recovered and 4 (2.1%) were deceased. The incidence of pneumonia was 39%. In multivariable logistic regression, increasing age (OR 2.55 per 10-year increase from 30 years old; 95% CI, 1.67-3.90; p<0.001), obesity (OR 8.74; 95%CI, 2.06-37.18; p=0.003), and higher temperature at presentation (OR 4.59 per 1°C increase from 37.2 °C; 95% CI, 2.30-9.17; p<0.001) were potential predictive factors for COVID-19 pneumonia.
Conclusion
Across the spectrum of disease severities, most patients with COVID-19 in our cohort had good final clinical outcomes. COVID-19 pneumonia was found in one-third of them. Older age, obesity, and higher fever at presentation were independent predictors of COVID-19 pneumonia.
Author summary
This report describes the clinical course and final clinical outcomes of the full spectrum of disease severity of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) and evaluates risk factors of pneumonia in 193 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the Bamrasnaradura Infectious Diseases Institute, Thailand. The majority of patients with COVID-19 had mild disease. COVID-19 pneumonia was found in approximately 40% of patients. Older age, obesity, and higher grade of fever at presentation were independent risk factors of pneumonia in adult patients with COVID-19. Most patients in our cohort recovered and were discharged from hospital (recovery rate, 98%). Our findings can help the public health systems to estimate the burden of the disease and identify vulnerable patients in a timely manner.
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