Covid19, 2020 - a tutorial of sorts on reading data
Abstract
The SIR differential equations in Epidemiology are re-examined in the context of Covid19, 2020. The number of recovered cases is calibrated in time. Methods for estimating all pertinent parameters are described. A notion of implied susceptible population size ISPS is introduced, as the potential target population size for which the solution to the SIR equations would yield the current number of new affected cases. Analysis is applied to the Covid19 2020 data of a number of countries, as reported by the Johns Hopkins University data repository. It will be observed that some countries under-report consistently the number of recovered cases.
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