Environmental fluctuations reshape an unexpected diversity-disturbance relationship in a microbial community

Environmental disturbances have long been theorized to play a significant role in shaping the diversity and composition of ecosystems^1,2. However, fundamental limitations in our ability to specify the characteristics of a disturbance in the field and laboratory have produced an inconsistent picture of diversity-disturbance relationships (DDRs) that shape the structure of ecosystems³. Here, using a recently developed continuous culture system with tunable environmental control⁴, we decomposed a dilution disturbance into intensity and fluctuation components^5,6, and tested their effects on the diversity of a soil-derived bacterial community across hundreds of replicate cultures. We observed an unexpected U-shaped relationship between community diversity and disturbance intensity in the absence of fluctuations, an observation counter to classical intuition. Adding fluctuations erased the U-shape and increased community diversity across all disturbance intensities. All of these results are well-captured by a Monod consumer resource model, which further reveals how U-shaped DDRs emerge based on a novel “niche flip” mechanism in which competitive outcomes flip and coexistence regimes subsequently collapse at intermediate disturbance levels. Broadly, our results demonstrate how distinct features of an environmental disturbance can interact in complex ways to govern ecosystem assembly and produce all the major classes of DDRs, without invoking other organizational principles. With these findings, we construct a unifying framework that reconciles the disparate DDRs observed in nature, and propose strategies for predictively reshaping the compositional complexity of microbiomes and other ecosystems.