On the temporal spreading of the SARS-CoV-2
Abstract
The behaviour of SARS-CoV-2 virus is certainly one of the most challenging in contemporary world. Although the mathematical modelling of the virus has made relevant contributions, the unpredictable behaviour of the virus is still not fully understood. To identify some aspects of the virus elusive behaviour, we focused on the temporal characteristics of its course. We have analysed the latency trends the virus has realized worldwide, the outbreak of the hot spots, and the decreasing trends of the pandemic. We found that the spatio-temporal pandemic dynamics shows a power law distribution. As with physical systems, these changes in the pandemic’s course, which we have called transitional stages of contagion , highlight shared characteristics in many countries. The main results of this work is that the pandemic progression rhythms have been clearly identified for each country, providing the processes and the stages at which the virus develops, thus giving important information on the activation of containment and control measures.
Highlights
-
Temporal spreading of the novel SARS-CoV-2 is analysed all over the world, and the distribution of infected people follows a power law.
-
Latency, hot spots ignition, decreasing of the virus course all over the world are detected.
-
As in physical systems, the virus behaviour shows transitional stages in its evolution.
-
Temporal rhythms of the virus behaviour have key biological significance from the theoretical point of view, disclosing the steps of the virus evolution.
-
Predictions on the contagion dynamics, for each country, for all countries may be embodied into applications, for allowing forecasting about the contagion risk.
Related articles
Related articles are currently not available for this article.