Predicting the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic for the Low- and Middle-Income Countries

  1. Zhiwei Ding
  2. Feng Sha
  3. Jing Kong
  4. Bingyu Li
  5. Yi Zhang
  6. Paul Yip
  7. Zhouwang Yang
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Abstract

This study predicts the maximum hospital demand and number of infections for the LMICs in the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic. The epidemic is estimated to impose health care burden excessively exceeding the current capacity of hospitals in many LMICs, especially in Honduras, Central African Republic and Colombia.

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