Estimate of the actual number of COVID-19 cases from the analysis of deaths

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Abstract

Using the calculated values for the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of COVID-19 it is possible to estimate the prevalence of cases of infection in the city of Buenos Aires, Argentina, throughout the pandemic. The use of confirmed cases as a metric and their replacement by more reliable parameters such as death figures are discussed. The results are analyzed according to age ranges and possible sources of error in the estimates are established.

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