The COVID-19 pandemic storm in India subsides, but the calm is still far away

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Abstract

In May 2021, the number of new COVID-19 patients in India began to decline, as predicted by the generalized SIR-model (susceptible-infected-removed). The calculations of the final size of this pandemic wave and its duration probably were too pessimistic. New SIR simulations with the use of fresher datasets are necessary in order to update the predictions and to calculate the difference between the registered (laboratory-confirmed) and real number of cases.

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