National Excess Mortality from Sub-National data: Method and Application for Argentina

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Abstract

Currently, many countries have not yet reported 2020 or 2021 mortality data to allow an estimate of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, some countries have sub-national mortality data, at the state, province or city level. I present a simple method to allow estimation of national level mortality and excess mortality from sub-national data, using the case of Argentina and projecting excess mortality up to August 2021.

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