Novel pathogen introduction rapidly alters evolved movement strategies, restructuring animal societies

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Abstract

Animal sociality emerges from individual decisions on how to balance the costs and benefits of being sociable. Movement strategies incorporating social information — the presence and status of neighbours — can modulate spatial associations, helping animals avoid infection while benefiting from indirect information about their environment. When a novel pathogen is introduced into a population, it should increase the costs of sociality, selecting against gregariousness. Yet current thinking about novel pathogen introductions into wildlife neglects hosts’ potential evolutionary responses. We built an individual-based model that captures essential features of the repeated introduction, and subsequent transmission of an infectious pathogen among social hosts. Examining movements in a foraging context, widely shared by many species, we show how introducing a novel pathogen to a population provokes a rapid evolutionary transition to a dynamic social distancing movement strategy. This evolutionary shift triggers a disease-dominated ecological cascade of increased individual movement, decreased resource harvesting, and fewer social encounters. Pathogen-risk adapted individuals form less clustered social networks than their pathogen-risk naive ancestors, which reduces the spread of disease. The mix of post-introduction social movement strategies is influenced by the usefulness of social information and disease cost. Our work demonstrates that evolutionary adaptation to pathogen introductions and re-introductions can be very rapid, comparable to ecological timescales. Our general modelling framework shows why evolutionary dynamics should be considered in movement-disease models, and offers initial predictions for the eco-evolutionary consequences of wildlife pathogen spillover scenarios.

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