Implications of red state/blue state differences in COVID-19 death rates

The study objective was to explore state death rates pre- and post- 4/19/2021 (date vaccines were assumed available) and the relative contributions of 3 factors to state death rates post- 4/19/2021: 1) vaccination rates, 2) prevalence of obesity, hypertension, diabetes, COPD, cardiovascular disease, and asthma and 3) red vs. blue states, to better understand options for reducing deaths. The ratio of red to blue state deaths/million was 1.6 pre-4/19/2021 and 2.3 between 4/19 and 2/28/2022 resulting in >222,000 extra deaths in red states or 305/ day. Adjusted betas from linear regression showed state vaccination rates had the strongest effect on death rates while red vs. blue states explained more of the difference in state death rates (60% vs. 46% for vaccination rates) with mean vaccination rates ~10% higher in blue states. Results suggest that increasing vaccination rates in red states could potentially save thousands of lives as the pandemic continues.