The Risk of "Japan Sinks"

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Abstract

The various speculations about the so - called "Japan Sinks" have been widely circulated, to the extent that movies have even been made on this topic. The "2024 MW 7.6 Noto Peninsula Earthquake" has triggered contemplation about the specific mechanisms of the "Japan Sinks". The article synthesizes and explores the connection among the 2024 MW 7.6 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, the 1993 MW 6.6 Off Noto Earthquake and the future fate of the Japanese archipelago. Both earthquakes occurred at the same inflection point in the central part of the paleo-rift beneath the Sea of Japan, indicating continuous impacts. This suggests that multiple impacts may have led to the complete breaking of the inflection point, resulting in a full revival of the entire paleo-rift. Over time, the paleo-rift will evolve into a new subduction zone, similar to the Benioff Zone, causing the Japanese archipelago to subduct westward beneath the Japan Sea. Recent scientific studies support this assertion. The dangers depicted in the Japanese movie "Japan Sinks" could be real, even though it might not sink into the Pacific as depicted in the movie, but rather would submerge in the Sea of Japan.

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